The abundance of news coming from the four corners of the Arab world, recently, there was a bit 'done that overlook the arena, after Palestine, was our most frequent area of interest in Lebanon. A first signal of a planned "turnaround" we hope there is already reached with the previous article about Walid Jumblatt, now we are going to continue on that path with an editorial on the consequences predictable medium to long term to a recent statement of Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the Shiite Muslim Hezbollah movement .
Our Attentive readers will remember well that, during his long and detailed speech on the occasion of the celebrations to the memory of martyrs Leader, His Excellency Nasrallah had made reference to growing concern among the general of the hovering Jewish state, at a 'reprise' of the 2006 conflict, Hezbollah troops could enter into Israeli territory in the northern regions.
Nasrallah, in his speech, he had no frills, not only that but it would be quite possible that even Hezbollah was considering the option and the possibility to occupy certain areas of northern Palestine. This was the first time such a claim was made in public, a crucial opportunity during calendar Hezbollah, from his own lips of the supreme leader. Usually when a western politician wants to make statements threatening and risky makes it almost in secret, on the fringes of trivial occasions, possibly to the mouth of a subject or a spokesperson.
That way, if you get the bad block, it is ready justification: "My words were twisted!" and "I have misunderstood." Berlusconi, for example, is a master of this technique, as well as some Northern League, which, using, can indulge in immaculate most violent and absurd, only to implore the misunderstanding to justify every excess. Nasrallah has done the exact opposite, his statement, gets in line behind several others that suggest the war as Hezbollah is planning to come (because this is the belief of the Shia majority state, with Israel until there is no will only succession struggle and violent confrontation) as a way similar to the victorious defensive battles of 2006, 2000, 1996 and 1985.
This time, Hezbollah is planning to "attack" of course, a guerrilla movement and resistance to the word 'attack' has a relative value: so far Hezbollah has announced that the next military confrontation with Israel, Tel Aviv will be being targeted artillery rocket motion, direct that the commercial shipping ports in Israel will be considered legitimate military target, and now promise to send troops directly on the territory of the Zionist state.
In a Middle East where political and military often, they get a purely propagandistic hyperbole Hezbollah has the unusual reputation to follow its words with deeds. Not out of arrogance mystical powers of prophecy but "coincidentally" one of the few-perhaps the only one? - Outlet of information on the Middle East, in Italian and had announced the possibility of such an initiative by Lebanese fighters was just Palaestina Felix in our article dated November 8, 2010 .
Of course, there is no difference between commandos infiltrate saboteurs against logistical lines and 'fill' a territory militarily, although limited, also the consequential that binds our prophecy and Nasrallah's statement shows that our sources were credible and, indeed, far too conservative in their projections.
The motivation that led Nasrallah to release its latest statement is rather obvious: to think the general Zionists; Hezbollah (in our opinion quite rightly) believes that Israel fatally attack Lebanon again, well, each Tel Aviv ad that promises no more than a war fought only on the opponent's territory does much to encourage the IDF military planners to rethink and reassess their estimates.
more time is added to the almost total calm that characterizes the Lebanese-Israeli border since 2006 and more IDF can be sure that Hezbollah will be strengthened and related its technical and operational tactics, is now almost certain that the combat capability of the Shia resistance are two or three times greater than those displayed in the last war, this is the rationale of the constant and continued support to Nasrallah and his Iranian: far from want to 'control the Lebanon', as garrulous repeat the propagandists of Fox and CNN, Tehran sees Hezbollah as a useful diversion to occupy Israel until the Iranian nuclear program is not in the irreversible stage ... just make Israel more war with Lebanon can not engage in planning difficult and dangerous missions against Bushehr and Natanz.
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